Something similar crossed my mind when we first talked with our local Xilinx sales rep several months ago about how the S2 compares to the V4.
Like has seemingly occured with microprocessors, will there come a time when FPGA's are fast enough for all but a small number of of fringe applications? Except for the gamers, you don't hear people talking about needing a faster CPU anymore - they are "fast enough." Before the vendors jump all over me, I'm not saying that FPGA's have reached that point yet. And yes I realize that there is still plenty of innovation that they can do on their side. And each one of those responses would miss my point.
We push our FPGA's pretty hard where I work, and in the past, have always come up with a list of things that we want or need for the next generation device. But when Xilinx came around asking their thousand questions about what what they can improve on over V4 for the next gen device, our suggestion list was very short. I am most certainly not saying innovation is over when some engineers at a startup can't come up with really good ideas for next gen parts. I'm just saying that from where we sit, the FPGA's seem to be approaching "good enough." Not there yet, but approaching.
I'm sure we'll want a 40 Gbps SERDES (with CDR) on every I/O pin someday, and we'll want to run several levels of logic at 1 GHz or more. But the wish list is pretty short compared to what it used to be
- and I'm willing to wait a number of years for it to come true (where as in the past, there's usually been something that we needed immedately and had to "design around" the current architecture).
Anyone else out there see this? Anyone seeing something that a V4 or S2 won't do fairly well, that you think someone might want or need in the next year or three?
While I agree with Glen that the quibbling about power was highly annoying, especially when everyone knew they were dealing with pre-release numbers and products that the vendors know are not final, after putting all the information through the FUD filter, I did come away with a better understanding of the issues involved, helped somewhat by the (probably rushed) update of the S2 power numbers.
Have fun,
Marc