Is this a reporting anomaly? Are we doing something wrong with the way we take people off the active case list? The numbers have turned over the last couple of weeks and is going up, but why was it not lower before with the new infection rate so much lower for months?
The new infection rate hit a quarter million before mid January only to come down sharply over the next month or so. It has come down significantly since then as well. Integrating by eye starting at today and moving backward it would seem to take everyone remaining ill who had been infected since maybe February to account for 5 million still infected. We know that some significant proportion of those would have recovered in a month, so what is going on that this number remains so high???
To compare, the US peak was 9 million down to about 5 million now while the infection rates are still very low in comparison. The UK reached a peak of 2 million and dropped below 100,000 before the recent peak sent it back up. Why are these ratios so disparate?
This has to be an accounting or critera issue.