What happens if the economy opens up and the death toll does not spike?
May 19, 2020 Last reply: 3 years ago 23 Replies
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Bill Sloman
Actually they did - in China - after they finally recognised what they were dealing with. By that time a lot of foreign visistors to Wuhan had got infected and flown home
Not - as far as we can see - deliberately.
There's very little of it around in China, Taiwan, South Korea, Australia and a bunch of other places who got the message about lock down and contact tracing.
You don't lock down the entire world. You lock down the chunks you can isolate.
If you do it right, you can effectively kill the epidemic with in that area in six weeks. The US, the UK and Sweden have chosen not to do it right - more out of ignorance and incompetence than anything else.
Bill Sloman, Sydney
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There is an advantage to society if everyone behaves sensibly but in the US the...
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Bill Sloman
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Cursitor Doom doesn't seem to know that China can barely feed it's own popu lation, and depends on imports for a lot of it's food and other vital raw m aterials. Australia ships it lot of iron ore.
Total economic collapse in the rest of the world wouldn't leave China in gr eat shape either. And the version of Communism practiced in China is quite a lot different from the central control of the economy practiced the USSR which worked badly enough that the population eventually lost patience with the Party.
They may have enough sense to work out that real democratic socialism may w ork better, and let the voters chose between different communist party fact ions with different ideas about the way the country might be run.
ver 100 million people in the 20th century alone.
Cursitor Doom forgets that even the Communist Party recognises that those p articular doctrines didn't have the desired effect, and are dedicated to no t making the same mistakes again.
This doesn't mean that they are susceptible to making different kinds of mi stakes. Trump in the US has made the mistake of ignoring the Covid-19 epide mic - or at least not taking it seriously enough to get the new case per da y numbers to start decreasing by a significant amount every day so that the y can get close to zero within six weeks, which is possible.
Bill Sloman, Sydney
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whit3rd
No, questions are specifications for construction of answers. You've never accepted any answers to a large category of such questions, which leads to my question: why do you make lame excuses for disbelief? I've answered it: to protect a pet theory.
Nonsense. The 'it' was loose on the world while they detected, characterized, and eventually recognized it as a new disease.
This seems to be the Trump blame-China theory, which might explain why you've mischaracterized the timing of events in the emergent months of COVID-19.
What's the sigificance of "N incubation periods"? Do you need to produce N clutches of chicks from a single brood hen?
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