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electric SUVs. But the principle is right. In around 5 years EVs will ha ve achieved half of the total passenger car sales, in the US at least. I w ill probably be another five years for the number of fossil fueled vehicles on the road to drop significantly, say by more than 30%. During that time gasoline prices will be in the dumpster slowing adoption of EVs. But EVs have inherently lower operating costs. So the trend will continue as the p roduction costs of batteries drop.
ehicles longer. But at some point ~10 years as the number of fossil fueled vehicles on the road drop the demand for that type of mechanic will drop a nd drop rapidly. Autos don't fare well with age. At some point they get r eplaced simply because people don't like unreliability.
They do so much more than sell gas because everyone who drives has to go t heir once a week to fill up. With EVs most people will never go there and of those who can't charge at home, they will be around for some time, 30 mi nutes or so. I suppose a lot of people can use them like gas stations.. P ull up, plug in, get a cup of coffee pick up the morning paper, eat your eg g sandwich and be on your way with another 75-100 miles of range. The batt eries charge fastest and last longest if not charged fully. 20-50% gives a very fast charge, up to 2 kWH per minute in my car.
mostly be done at work and while shopping using the excess solar generation people seem to get so upset about. In an 8 hour day most EVs can be fully charged in a work day.
Many hotels already have level 2 charging, maybe not enough of it though. It's not uncommon to find them full if you arrive late. Level 2 charging i s not very costly. My tank of electrons at night rates is around $5 to $8 bucks. About the same as the cost of providing the free breakfast I expect .
To me the ideal EV would have enough range to drive for four hours at 70 mp h, so 280 miles (not total, I mean useful range, so maybe 350 or 400 total) and charge in an hour so you can have a meal while stopped. Then you can get a charge overnight allowing good distance in a day. My car is only sho rt of that by about 70 miles or 25%. I fully expect 350 or 400 miles to be the norm in a few years as improvements to batteries are made. Tesla is a lready making a change in battery chemistry that is primarily to get away f rom using more expensive elements in the fabrication like cobalt if I recal l correctly. Still, there is tons and tons of research going on in that do main. Rapid improvements can be expected, even if only incremental, in not too much time the EV will be the main stream car for nearly everyone.
This is not such a radical thing to say really. It won't take any governme nt mandates, just a bit of time and a few more small improvements.