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rote:
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an male.
to last a bit longer.
to account gives me 16 more years, but that's probably a bit low - Australi an males live four year longer than US males on average, so 20 years is mig ht be closer to the mark. Australian males are less frequently obese that t heir US counterparts, so some of that four years may have been figured in b y the US calculator (which did take my current weight and height into accou nt).
Actually, better educated than you can appreciate.
than one that didn't.
y vary.
s not very healthy.
sits. I've been sitting in front of computer screens and display terminals for most of my life, but I also played field hockey until I turned 69. I do know what statistics mean, which you clearly don't.
accurately predict your lifespan - this tells me you DON'T HAVE A CLUE wha t they mean. What the f*ck are your chances if you catch C19, you idiot?
I do know what statistics mean, and you've just illustrated - once again - that you don't. They don't predict any single life-span, but they do show that if you look at a lot of more or less similar lives you get a bell-cur ve with peak at a particular age and a well-defined spread around that age.
Getting Covid-19 is a new risk, but there are lots of others. I could drop dead tomorrow, but the statistics suggest that this is unlikely.
From time to time I point out that if I'm likely to live another sixteen ye ars, that can be roughly translated into a 1 in 23 chance of dying next ye ar, or in any subsequent year I live long enough to get to.
22/23^16 is 0.4910.That would put Biden's changes of surviving for two terms at about 70% - th ere's about one chance in three that he'd die in office (if he got a second term).
It may be a better way of making sense of what the statistics are telling u s - or those of us who have some grasp of what they mean.
In reality my chance of dying in the next year goes up steadily as I get ol der, until I hit 80 (if I last that long), but every year that I haven't di ed increases my chances that I'm a member of the group that lives longer th an most.