Happy New (Delta Xi Omicron) Year

Sorry but your claims are simply not credible. Delta and Delta (AY4.2) represent the other 12% of Covid infections in the UK. AY4.2 was slowly displacing the original Delta strain until Omicron really took off.

I find it impossible to reconcile your numbers with those of the CDC which do not even include "Xi" as a VOC. They also claim Omicron is at

75% penetration in the USA (which also seems highly unlikely to me).

Also you have four columns of numbers and only 3 titles.

The daily infection curve would be very much steeper like it is in the UK or France if that were actually true. UK prevalence of Omicron is now almost 80% and case numbers at record levels with over 4% of the English population (mostly young people) currently infected with Covid-19.

This years Royal Institution Christmas lectures were given by Jonathon Van Tam (deputy chief medic) on Covid. There was a particularly striking visualisation of % of each virus strain seen in the UK as a function of time since it originally arrived. It was chaotic at first with no single variant ever gaining a decisive advantage until alpha emerged which displaced almost everything else and then later delta which did the same, omicron is just beginning to show on the end of the chart.

46 minutes in is where the graphic appears. It is the most complete one that I have seen - unable to find it as a free standing image online. The person presenting is Professor Sharon Peacock one of the UK's foremost researchers into genomic sequencing.

Closest is the interactive UK variant genomic frequency graph:

I don't claim to know anything about the UK. US is far away and very different from UK. Delta was never that high in the US. Since early November, the unique sequencing patterns of Delta are almost non-existence.

CDC considers Xi as Delta. I reserve Xi for my tracking of "D614G + E484Q".

With 2 to 3 weeks lag in reporting, the NCBI data indicates around 17% US (55% FL) in early December. I can tell you in 3 weeks whether the 75% US is credible or not. For a while, i was starting to question the NCBI data and/or my interpretation of the data. But with a reporting delay, it fits perfectly.

The fourth column is other unaccountable variants.

And exactly how is your pretend "Xi" different from B.1.617.1 aka Kappa

Defining mutations: L452R E484Q D614G P681R

(see under de-escalated variants - it never really got started here)

Arguably a precursor/alternative to Delta which has T478K instead as B.1.617.2 Both originated in India but for some reason .1 took off in the USA but .2 took off in Europe. It is rather curious.

Omicron will make everything that went before look like a picnic. (only saving grace is it might only be as dangerous as the wild form)

Delta was twice as lethal.

It is odd that in the USA the early weaker form Kappa has won out whereas in Europe (perhaps because of better containment and higher vaccination levels) it got wiped out and rapidly supplanted by Delta.

Texas stands out as having a worryingly high "others".

Maybe it's time to embargo Texas? They keep talking about wanting to secede. I guess they need a little help.

Xi does not have the L452R and P681R mutations, only D614G and E484Q. A few samples have D614G and L452R previously, none with D614G and P681R.

Louisiana (83%) is leading the race for the Omicron Club.

Weekly (2 wks lag) data since Dec 2021 USA/-- | 01% 16% 38% USA/NY | 03% 31% 64% USA/NJ | 01% 21% 53% USA/PA | 00% 07% 21% USA/MI | 00% 10% 36% USA/FL | 02% 55% 67% USA/GA | 01% 31% 68% USA/AL | 00% 09% 55% USA/LA | 00% 39% 83% USA/MS | 00% 25% 53% USA/TX | 01% 43% 74% USA/CO | 00% 02% 07% USA/UT | 00% 00% 02% USA/NM | 00% 01% 07% USA/AZ | 00% 06% 17% USA/NV | 01% 03% 34% USA/CA | 01% 29% 47% USA/OR | 00% 15% 13% USA/WA | 03% 12% 25% Samples 15k 11k 16k

USA/NY | 03% 31% 64% 86% USA/NJ | 01% 21% 53% 79% USA/PA | 00% 07% 21% 43% USA/MI | 00% 10% 36% 63% USA/FL | 02% 55% 67% 90% USA/GA | 01% 31% 68% 83% USA/AL | 00% 09% 55% 78% USA/LA | 00% 39% 83% 87% USA/MS | 00% 25% 53% 83% USA/KS | 00% 02% 05% 47% USA/ND | 00% 00% 00% 00% USA/OK | 01% 06% 38% 08% USA/TX | 01% 43% 74% 90% USA/CO | 00% 02% 07% 30% USA/UT | 00% 00% 02% 13% USA/NM | 00% 01% 07% 17% USA/AZ | 00% 06% 17% 64% USA/NV | 01% 03% 34% 52% USA/CA | 01% 29% 47% 68% USA/OR | 00% 15% 13% 94% USA/WA | 03% 12% 25% 90% Total | 01% 16% 38% 59% Samples 15k 11k 16k 8k

In Data We Trust. ND is still safe from Omicron. OK had a surprising drop.

Yeah, if only we had some idea of what the data was. Here's some data...

TT062821-7

28-Jun-21 200

-149,660.00

-153,660.00 TT080321-5

03-Aug-21 164

-11,948.75

-165,608.75 TT080521-6

Pretty wild, right?

For example, Oklahoma had 1% of new cases in first week, 6% in second week, 38% in third week, and 8% in fourth week as Omicron. Total new Omicron cases in USA reached 59% in the fourth week since Omicron started in early December 2021.

Your turn to explain your Data.

Weekly update:

Omicron| 2021____________2022 _______| Dec_____________Jan USA/NY_| 03% 31% 64% 86% 85% USA/NJ_| 01% 21% 53% 79% 87% USA/PA_| 00% 07% 21% 43% 75% USA/MI_| 00% 10% 36% 63% 69% USA/FL_| 02% 55% 67% 90% 95% USA/GA_| 01% 31% 68% 83% 90% USA/AL_| 00% 09% 55% 78% 99% USA/LA_| 00% 39% 83% 87% 81% USA/MS_| 00% 25% 53% 83% 74% USA/KS_| 00% 02% 05% 47% 54% USA/ND_| 00% 00% 00% 00% 00% USA/OK_| 01% 06% 38% 08% 14% USA/TX_| 01% 43% 74% 90% 78% USA/CO_| 00% 02% 07% 30% 65% USA/UT_| 00% 00% 02% 13% 21% USA/NM_| 00% 01% 07% 17% 54% USA/AZ_| 00% 06% 17% 64% 77% USA/NV_| 01% 03% 34% 52% 92% USA/CA_| 01% 29% 47% 68% 77% USA/OR_| 00% 15% 13% 94% 82% USA/WA_| 03% 12% 25% 90% 82% Total__| 01% 16% 38% 59% 60% Samples| 15k 11k 16k 08k 07k

In Data We Trust. Omicron (60%) is slowing down, but Xi (31%) may never die.

Ed Lee snipped-for-privacy@gmail.com wrote in news: snipped-for-privacy@googlegroups.com:

In off topic unnecessary posts, we do not.

Post your stupid shit elsewhere, or just post a link. We do not need you copy and paste stupidity in an information age society. We can find the data all by ourselves.

And no, you are NOT contributing to the group with this stupid shit. Especially not followed by your opinions.

In our own ability to observe, we trust. Maybe you should learn something about human behavior. Posting for attention? Lame. Posting thinking that you are informing someone... even more lame.

We are good on our own. don't need your stats or your opinions on what the stats say. You dig, boy?

But some people are too stupid to read the data.

Ed Lee snipped-for-privacy@gmail.com wrote in news: snipped-for-privacy@googlegroups.com:

Some people are too stupid to know how to interpret it too.

But is that for you to say? Sounds like more baseless opinions.

Really most do not even look at data sets. Mostly idiot Trumpers whom cannot handle hard facts, much less grasp them to start with.

OK, some people like you are too stupid, period.

It's only for you.

So, I am not Trumper.