Phase Sensitive Detector for Equities

Not sure what your question is. One school of thinking based on the efficient market hypothesis would say that there can be no privately- known reference; asset prices at any given time reflect all information that would affect their value (this is certainly ripe for debate with respect to insider trading). In the case where your reference became available to everyone, any advantage to be had by using it would disappear. A summary conclusion of the hypothesis is that that over the long term, you can't beat average market returns when your returns are adjusted for the risk that you take on.

Not saying that the EMH is true, just presenting one potential outcome of your scenario.

Jason

It's not likely that there is a reference. Regardless of the denigration of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis, the aphorism "The market can stay crazy longer than you can stay solvent" still holds.

-- Les Cargill

Buffet seems to still be solvent.

Bret Cahill

-- Les Cargill

...

That's because he thinks he doesn't pay enough tax.

Jerry

He doesn't pay enough postage for all that damn junk mail. It's no wonder the US post office is in trouble. Make people pay first class rates for junk mail, and they would have plenty of cash.

If Buffet wanted to pay more tax, he could easily make a donation to reduce the public debt at the site below. But he doesn't choose to do that, he wants someone else to do it.

-Bill

He wants to do it as part of a team.

...

Jerry

Does Buffet send much junk mail?

Jerry

Did you really ask that question? I get about three pieces a week from Geico, one of his overhyped companies. I'm happy with my truck insurance, and I despise lying rubber geckos with phony accents. Over a years time, about 80% of the junk mail I get comes from one of his companies.