Issues with LEDs today:
>
> Color rendering
> Diffusion
>
> Once those are solved effectively, they will be excellent
> alternatives. My guess is 5 years to color rendering, and 5 more to
> diffusion. Most LEDs today filter a single color to a specific
> monochromatic output. Even the LED-type flashlights are very heavily
> skewed to the blue end of the spectrum in order to get sufficient
> brightness, and require multiple LEDs to get even a minor beam with
> very poor diffusion.
But you can use a combination of red, green, and blue high intensity LEDs, to create any variant of "white" that you prefer. From what Ive read so far, the efficiency of the new high intensity LEDs is almost identical now to that of CFLs, which means about the same lumens for 1/4 or 1/5th the power of an equally bright incandescent bulb.
I think we shouldn't get stuck on any supposed problem with CFLs, as if they are the only alternative here.
The weird thing about LEDs is that they would last such a long time that they wouldn't need replacement. In principle, you can build them right into the lamp itself. Or in walls, or whatever.
Bert