I I've had the 4 LEDs operating at 25 mA for all of May and June, and the first few days of July. This is about 1500 hours so far. The LEDs are two Nichia NSPW500BS white LEDs, and two white LEDs from Hong Kong that I got off Ebay. All four are in series so there is no doubt that they are all running at exactly the same current.
The two Nichias are going strong, with no noticeable signs of dimming. The two Hong Kong LEDs, sad to say, are so dim that they wouldn't make good panel lights, so can't even consider them suitable for illumination. They're really quite dim.
Of the hundred Hong Kong LEDs I bought, all I've used have had this dimming problem after a few hundredds of hours, so I decided to put the four on a PS to control the conditions and verify that I'm not imagining things. I think one problem might be that the Hong Kong LEDs use an organic phosphor that degrades faster than Nichia's, and might contaminate the LED chip. But I'm not an expert on this at all, so I'm open to any other ideas.
I posted an update of the progress of the dimming at the beginning of last month, and now this one shows that the hong kong LEDs are so dim that it's probably not worth continuing the test. I may solder two more unused hong kong LEDs into the circuit, and start the test again, just for the halibut.
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