Ah, that is the thing. I'm not at all clear that the transition *will* be slow. I think we are headed for a critical mass in about four years. At t hat point there will be sufficient charging facilities and enough people wi ll have bought EVs that they will not be the rare things anymore. Once the y become more commonplace it will break down the resistance and they will b ecome the norm rather than the exception.
That's my concern. Once they become commonplace, the infrastructure will n eed to keep up. When I try to talk about issues in the distribution networ k in Tesla forums, people talk to me about generation. With a moderate amo unt of encouragement people will mostly charge at night which *helps* the g rid by utilizing generating capacity more evenly. But it will be stressing the residential distribution harder.
I haven't been able to find anyone who really knows just what will happen i n that regard. I was told it was common for four homes to be on the same d istribution transformer and they are sized for the expected loads at peak u sage time, ~7 PM. But in many neighborhoods these transformers were sized
40 years ago. We have been bumping up our typical usage for decades and th e EV impact will be a lot more abrupt than "decades". My concern is that t he utilities will use this as justification to raise rates. Instead, they could develop programs of coordinated charging so autos get the charging th ey need, without all being on at the same time. I know that utilities tend to move slowly on matters like this unless required to by the regulators. I'd like to see someone thinking about this now.Rick C.